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Dollar Falls on Employment Data

Written on 7 Aug, 2010 at 2:40 in Analysis, Forex news, Technical Analysis | viewed 22 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

The dollar fell versus its counterparts except the Canadian dollar on Friday after a Labor Department report showed July US nonfarm payrolls dropped more than expected. US interest rates declined and the S&P 500 slipped 4.17 to 1,121.64. The yen... (Continue reading)

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Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary

Written on 6 Aug, 2010 at 15:43 in Analysis, Forex news, Technical Analysis | viewed 25 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

This week's economic news went a long way toward alleviating fears about an imminent double-dip recession. While a second downturn cannot be totally dismissed, we see the probability as very low and expect the economy to again show surprising resiliency.... (Continue reading)

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Interest Rate Spreads May Have Stopped Undermining the USD

Written on 6 Aug, 2010 at 15:30 in Analysis, Forex news, Technical Analysis | viewed 27 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

The greenback lost further ground this past week as data continued to portray a stalling US recovery and speculation mounted that the Fed would announce additional easing on Tuesday. In addition to weak data, one of the main drivers of... (Continue reading)

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The Weekly Bottom Line

Written on 6 Aug, 2010 at 14:31 in Analysis, Forex news, Technical Analysis | viewed 24 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

It was all about jobs and QE this week; not Her Majesty the Queen of England, if you were wondering, but rather Quantitative Easing -the practice of a central bank buying debt securities to boost money supply. We learned today... (Continue reading)

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G10 FX – GBP/USD: Negate QIR?

Written on 6 Aug, 2010 at 12:37 in Analysis, Forex news, Technical Analysis | viewed 17 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

One could argue that the immediate concern from a GBP perspective should theoretically be the BoE Inflation Report (Aug 11) and the MPC Minutes (Aug 18). However, a 0.8/0.9 correlation of GBP/USD with equities and commodities (see chart 2) argues... (Continue reading)

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US Labour Market Report Sends Dollar to New Lows

Written on 6 Aug, 2010 at 12:29 in Analysis, Forex news, Technical Analysis | viewed 13 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

Market participants' assessment of the economic outlook, and of course the direction of monetary policy (the Open Market Committee is holding its next meeting on Tuesday) will probably be influenced by the US labour market figures, which were published today.... (Continue reading)

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The Week in Review

Written on 6 Aug, 2010 at 12:26 in Analysis, Forex news, Technical Analysis | viewed 17 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

The risk trade lives and breathes. The United States July employment situation report from the Bureau of labor Statistics was uniformly disappointing in detail and worrying in implication. But currency traders piled into the euro, the yen and the sterling... (Continue reading)

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Nonfarm Payrolls Review: Weak Report, Markets Aren’t Happy

Written on 6 Aug, 2010 at 9:29 in Analysis, Forex news, Technical Analysis | viewed 14 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

The labour market report was worse than expected for both total and private payrolls. The former came out at -131,000 (Saxo: -30,000; consensus: -65,000) while the latter was 71,000 (Saxo: 100,000; consensus: 90,000). In addition last month's numbers were revised... (Continue reading)

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Weekly Focus: Europe Strikes Back

Written on 6 Aug, 2010 at 9:14 in Analysis, Forex news, Technical Analysis | viewed 3 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

No one expected it. But it probably had to happen sooner or later. Over the past month the euro area has been the main provider of good news while US and Asian data have disappointed. The German Ifo index, German... (Continue reading)

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Nothing in NFP to Deter FED from Further Easing

Written on 6 Aug, 2010 at 9:12 in Analysis, Forex news, Technical Analysis | viewed 1 views times and users have made 0 comments so far

The change in total US Non-farm payrolls in July was weak at -131,000, vs. expectations for -65,000, and the change in the more closely watched Private payrolls was also disappointing at +71,000, below expectations of +90,000. Although the headline unemployment... (Continue reading)

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